April 17 - The Red Sox are on pace for a record season after their first home series. The Sox have now won three out of their last four games and if they can continue this pace, the team is now projected to put their early season woes behind them and finish with a 118-44 record (.728) - proving once again why they are perennial contenders.
April 17 - The Red Sox are on pace for a disappointing season after ten games. With a home record of 3-1 (.750) and an away record of 1-5 (.167), the team is now projected to have a home record of 61-20 and an away record of 13-68. For the season, this will yield a record of 74-88 (.458), by all accounts a disappointing year for the perrennial contenders.
The Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays played this morning in the greatest holiday ever invented: Patriots Day. During my years living in Boston, I learned to truly honor the day with the spirit it was intended. By that I mean I stayed indoors, drank beer, and played video games until my eyes hurt. Now…
When the Red Sox brass hired Bobby Valentine, there was some concern as to how he was going to manage the team. The owners seemed to want someone that would air the laundry of the team rather than keep it in the clubhouse. Valentine is notorious for criticizing his players to the media and his trend continues. At this rate though, as he’s only done it once in ten games, he won’t even get to half of the 40-man roster by the end of the regular season. With the backlash coming from the players on his comments though, we may see something closer to an exponential curve from Valentine, in an effort to cover the full roster and possibly several lucky minor leaguers before his scheduled Caribbean vacation during post-season.
Ellsbury’s batting average has been a sort spot early in this season. But aside from a few ups and downs through game 5, it looks like he’s currently streaking in the right direction. Take a look at the projected growth rate (red bands indicate reasonable margin of error). If he continues to grow his batting average as in games 6 and 7, it’s easy to see that by game 12 he will be batting well over .400!
The Good News: Red Sox have the day off. So our race to beat the 1899 Cleveland Spider’s record for worst season ever at 20-134 is on hold.
The Bad News: Tomorrow begins our series vs Tampa Bay and Beckett is sure not to disappoint with his ERA of 13.5
Kevin Youkilis is a machine. But more importantly, he’s smart. He realizes that slow and steady wins the race (and the pennant). Unlike other players looking to maintain steady production — say, 1-2 hits per game — all season long, Youkilis is playing the long game.
Here’s what we know so far: through game 5, Youkilis has 2 hits. While this is far from impressive, if he continues the trend and adds two hits every 5 games, he will remain on track to collect 20 hits during the 5 game period from game 46-50. This works out to an average of 4 hits per game at that point, and it’s only going to get better from there.
The beginning of the season is always filled with fun and helpful information. And if things hold true, which I think they will, we may be in for the craziest Major League season ever.
- Cole Hamels will make zero starts this season.
- Mark Trumbo will commit over 300 errors at third base.
April 8: At this point in the season, Jacoby Ellsbury is on pace to record the same number of hits and strikeouts. This puts him in an interesting position if the trend continues. If he matches his hit total from last season, he could wind up with 212 strikeouts this season. If he matches his strikeout total from last season, he could only reach 98 hits this season.